Crunching the Numbers !
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Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 23, 2021 10:51 AM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by 6x6 [TN]) Jun 23, 2021 11:23 AM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by plenty [MO]) Jun 23, 2021 11:25 AM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by 6x6 [TN]) Jun 23, 2021 11:26 AM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by 6x6 [TN]) Jun 23, 2021 11:30 AM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ken [NY]) Jun 23, 2021 11:38 AM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by LTD [AZ]) Jun 23, 2021 11:38 AM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 23, 2021 11:39 AM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Nicole [PA]) Jun 23, 2021 11:46 AM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 23, 2021 12:00 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 23, 2021 12:13 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ken [NY]) Jun 23, 2021 12:17 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Sorta Blonde [CA]) Jun 23, 2021 12:23 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Bonanza [NC]) Jun 23, 2021 12:35 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by gevans [SC]) Jun 23, 2021 12:44 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 23, 2021 12:55 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 23, 2021 1:08 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ltd [AZ]) Jun 23, 2021 1:52 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 23, 2021 2:23 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by BRAD 20,000 [IN]) Jun 23, 2021 3:53 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 23, 2021 5:18 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by GKARL [PA]) Jun 23, 2021 7:12 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by GKARL [PA]) Jun 23, 2021 7:22 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ken [NY]) Jun 23, 2021 9:02 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 24, 2021 7:08 AM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 24, 2021 8:58 AM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Smokowna [MD]) Jun 24, 2021 9:24 AM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ken [NY]) Jun 24, 2021 10:49 AM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 24, 2021 12:25 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 24, 2021 1:44 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ken [NY]) Jun 24, 2021 2:35 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by 6x6 [TN]) Jun 24, 2021 2:52 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 24, 2021 3:24 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Jun 27, 2021 9:36 PM
       Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Jun 28, 2021 8:56 AM


Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 10:51 AM
Message:

My favorite fixer-upper house is a 2/1 or 3/1, 900 sq. ft house in a decent Class C or D neighborhood. So far, I have been able to buy these houses for $10 - $15K. I have now located my next 2/1 fixer-upper, however, this one is in a Class B neighborhood and this hood has a reputation for having a great school district,... which generally translates into 'higher rents'. What this means is that I will now have to offer more and eventually pay more for a 2/1 house just to get into a more desirable neighborhood.

I have started crunching the numbers on this deal and I thought I would share this information with you. Also, I am dealing with a RE broker who is representing the seller here (the broker and seller are personal friends too). The asking price here is $60,000.

This house is a fixer-upper and I have estimated the rehab to cost $20,000. On Monday, I offered the broker $25,000 cash to buy the house. Yesterday, the broker calls me and tells me something I was not aware of,...there is a mortgage on this house and my $25K offer is less than what is owed on the mortgage. Of course, my next question was, 'how much is owed on the mortgage?'. Sometime today, I will get an answer to this question and this could decide whether I stay with this deal or walk away from it!.

Now, if this house did not need any repairs, $60K would be a reasonable asking price for this house, considering the neighborhood. When I crunch numbers, I have to estimate the ARV (after repair value) and I have pegged the ARV here at $60,000.

Based on the numbers here, which is all I know for now, if the mortgage on this house turned out to be $40,000,...would you buy this house? After rehab, this house would rent for $850/month,...if that makes any difference.

--68.63.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by 6x6 [TN]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 11:23 AM
Message:

Thank you for sharing. I would like to follow this. Houses needing 50k in repairs here are selling for over 100k. I would buy that house for that and get that much in rent but I am still learning and so I want to follow this and see what others would do. --73.120.xx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by plenty [MO]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 11:25 AM
Message:

Yes. --172.58.xxx.xx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by 6x6 [TN]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 11:26 AM
Message:

If I have done my math correctly and you ended up with 60k all total in the property then that would be a 17% return gross. --73.120.xx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by 6x6 [TN]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 11:30 AM
Message:

Is this a SFH or MH? --73.120.xx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ken [NY]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 11:38 AM
Message:

Roy,learn how to look up info on the county clerks website or go in person and access the documents.You would have had an idea of a balance on the mortgage,also you would know of judgments filed against the place,call the city and find out how much back taxes are owed. then you will know more than the actual seller and can make an offer based on that info. You will also need to pay enough for commission and closing costs.Maybe they will let you just start making the payments even if you just fix and flip.what would it sell for if fixed? --72.231.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by LTD [AZ]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 11:38 AM
Message:

Hi Roy, seems if the mortgage is much over your offer you will be paying near retail for the house after rehab.

If you invest 60K and get an $6,000 annual net return you are making 10% roi, not counting labor. That's not bad.

You might want an additional rehab pad. Every one of my recent manufactured home installs has run several thousand over projections. --47.216.xx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 11:39 AM
Message:

6x6,

The nice thing about Class B hoods here is the houses will generally appreciate in value at the rate of inflation but there is no guarantee that this small 2/1 house will appreciate. I do not make offers based on Appreciation potential. --68.63.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Nicole [PA]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 11:46 AM
Message:

Ken answered for me. I cant help with your question but I never make an offer without knowing as much of the circumstances as possible. I not only check real estate records, I also check criminal and civil records. Is there a divorce? Several drunk driving cases? There are actually some of those funky security trust type mortgage owners who hold loans for folks who are back in their payments (not enough yet for a foreclosure) or for those who pulled themselves out of foreclosures.

To figure (guess at) the mortgage balance, use their sales price and mortgage price. Use whatever the going interest rate was at that time. And then amortize at the set schedule. Of course you can't see if they made a lot of extra payments or if they've had trouble paying monthly but you can get a general idea. --72.70.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 12:00 PM
Message:

LTD,

I appreciate your input here. My first rehab estimate here was actually $15K and I did add my usual $5K to it just to CMA. This house has a 2x6 ft. 'hole' in the kitchen floor and you can see floor joist and get easy access to the crawl space too!! The broker told me the previous tenant did not report a water leak under the kitchen sink and after 8 years, 1/2 of the kitchen sub-floor just collapsed downward! This seems to be the biggest issue with this house, however, a new roof and HVAC system will probably be needed too.

Ken (NY) - It would be nice if the mortgage here was 'assumable' or if I could just take up payments. However, this house is not a foreclosure,... AFAIK. --68.63.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 12:13 PM
Message:

6x6,

This is definitely a SFH,..not a MH. Here MH's are only allowed (zoning) in Class C, D, and F hoods. Two years ago, I sold a house because some redneck moved a trashy MH onto the vacant lot next to my really nice Class C house. I should have bought that vacant lot. --68.63.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ken [NY]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 12:17 PM
Message:

Roy i dont care if the mortgage is assumable or not,i am doing one right now that the sellers want out so bad they will just let me make the payments,it is called subject to, i intend to clean it out and sell it like it is and pay off the mortgage when i sell it but if i cant sell it they understand i will fix it,rent it and pay the mortgage off every month from the rent i collect. You have to ask them to let you start making payments,they dont know enough to even ask if you would like that to happen --72.231.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Sorta Blonde [CA]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 12:23 PM
Message:

Sounds like a deal to me no matter, since FIXERs (total guts) in my immediate neighborhood are selling for $350k to $450k for a 2/1 And a duplex goes for more. Things sell in less than a week for horrendous prices. Median sell price in my neighborhood is 600k. This is not a fancy neighborhood. Most homes are 1920's to 1950's builds. I'd love to see something under 100k. Geez. Even if it needed loads of work. --72.220.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Bonanza [NC]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 12:35 PM
Message:

I'd buy it. It cash flows and it's in a nicer area than some of your other houses. --71.217.xxx.xx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by gevans [SC]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 12:44 PM
Message:

Nicer area= fewer headaches, much less drama. It's a trade off, but my class B rentals attract a much higher class tenant, the type who pay on time, maintain longer term relationships, and don't punch holes in the walls. Some of my B rentals looked every bit as nice the day the tenant moved out, no rehab or cleaning necessary! --69.80.xx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 12:55 PM
Message:

Ken,

I have yet to negotiate anything with this deal. Why? Because there is a RE broker who is standing between me and the seller and as most brokers do, they put up a wall and do not allow the seller and buyer to ever meet face to face. With Class C & D house sellers, I always got to negotiate directly with the sellers (and this is where the killer deals were created too) because there was never a broker/agent involved those deals. Besides, most Class C/D sellers always hated RE agents anyway.

I am planning on asking the broker here for a face to face meeting with the seller. Can't hurt to at least ask. If I can talk directly with the female seller here, I can unleash some my southern charm on her and have this deal under contract by Friday afternoon. However, if the broker becomes a PITA, this deal may never happen. --68.63.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 1:08 PM
Message:

Gevans,

Good to hear from you ole buddy. Based on my very limited experience with Class B tenants, they don't stay very long because they had the credit and down payment to buy a house. And they did not want to buy the Class C house they rented from me. Maybe this is the reason I would like to start buying in better hoods. --68.63.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ltd [AZ]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 1:52 PM
Message:

Roy - LOL your hole story reminds me of a property we looked at some years ago when we did our first round of mobile flips.

This dump was for sale for around $16,000 on a street that looked and sounded like a pit bull training kennel. We did a walk through and my spouse was shocked, "There's a HOLE in the ceiling!"

"Yes," I said. "But don't worry, the water will drain out the hole in the FLOOR!" :D :D

I should have bought it anyway, it's worth about $75,000 now. --47.216.xx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 2:23 PM
Message:

LTD,

10 years ago, I bought my first (and only) single wide MH. The owners had at least 15 feral cats living there, peeing and pooping in every room. The urine stench was unbearable. I paid $5K for this cat kennel on wheels, gutted it, rehabbed it and finally got the stink out. This MH is worth $30K now but the cash flow on this place is so good (35% ROCI) that it would be foolish on my part to sell it.

--68.63.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by BRAD 20,000 [IN]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 3:53 PM
Message:

Roy,

Yes, sometimes the agent blocks the deal.

Me? Ask for balance on martgage and also the monthly payment amount. Doe sit include taxes/ins escrow?

I bought one like this where I took over the payments and paid the agent commission over 90 days.

Most agents don't have a clue.

BRAD --73.102.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 5:18 PM
Message:

Brad20K,

Does taking over the payments mean you also get to take title to the property? I will not make monthly payments or even do a rehab unless I can get Title to the house.

I am not trying to trying to cut the broker out of this deal,..she will get her commission, assuming we ever get to the closing table.

--68.63.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by GKARL [PA]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 7:12 PM
Message:

Roy, you can get title but you have to watch out for the due on sale clause in the mortgage. Normally back cause accelerates the mortgage balance whenever there's a sale. If the existing mortgage company finds out they can force you to pay it off in total. As I understand it however, if the payments are being made they really don't get into that. I was going to do that at one point for an acquisition but I just decided to get a mortgage. It was going to get sloppy putting two names on insurance policies and that sort of thing. --172.58.xxx.xx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by GKARL [PA]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 7:22 PM
Message:

Roy, you can get title but you have to watch out for the due on sale clause in the mortgage. Normally that clause accelerates the mortgage balance whenever there's a sale. If the existing mortgage company finds out they can force you to pay it off in total. As I understand it however, if the payments are being made they really don't get into that. I was going to do that at one point for an acquisition but I just decided to get a mortgage. It was going to get sloppy putting two names on insurance policies and that sort of thing. --172.58.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ken [NY]) Posted on: Jun 23, 2021 9:02 PM
Message:

Roy,yes you can get the deed in your name while leaving the mortgage in the sellers name,i have done it lots of times --72.231.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 24, 2021 7:08 AM
Message:

I still have not heard back from the broker. After multiple number crunching sessions, I have decided the most I will pay for this house is $35K. I was hoping to get some experience in Class B hoods but the 'price of admission' here may not be 'worth the show'. --68.63.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 24, 2021 8:58 AM
Message:

Oh $hit,...broker just called and said,...'mortgage balance is $48,000 plus closing cost, plus brokers fee plus $20,000 in rehab. Total around $70,000.

Would anyone here still buy this house? With $70K, I could buy 3 Class C houses and still have money left over. --68.63.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Smokowna [MD]) Posted on: Jun 24, 2021 9:24 AM
Message:

People would buy this house if it was their first deal, or if they owned the house next door, or if they wanted to live there.

You, Naa, You would not buy the house because you know in exactly 42 days from now, you will find another much better deal to occupy your time. (Not to mention the one you will find 53 days from now...) --108.28.xx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ken [NY]) Posted on: Jun 24, 2021 10:49 AM
Message:

If it is worth $140000 when finished i would buy it for a flip --72.231.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 24, 2021 12:25 PM
Message:

Ken,

This house, after $20K in rehab, would flip for about $75K.

There are houses across the street that would sell for $150K but those are modern 3/2/2's. No apples to apples here.

I am probably going to back out of this deal. 'The price of admission here is just not worth the show' which is advice that came from my father about 40 years ago. Back then, he was giving me all of the reasons I should not lust after married women. --68.63.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 24, 2021 1:44 PM
Message:

Ken,

The broker has given me the seller's phone number and I have spent the last 45 minutes on the phone with her!!! And she is highly motivated too!! That is the good news. The bad news is there are 2 mortgages on this house.

1st mortg for $41,660. The 2nd mortg. is $6,050 for a grand total of $47,710.

The best deal I could offer her was this: I will contribute $40K here and you and your husband will kick in the balance of $7,710.00 plus broker's fee. She agreed to this, however, since her husband was not there, he will have to agree to it as well.

That is all I know for the time being. --68.63.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ken [NY]) Posted on: Jun 24, 2021 2:35 PM
Message:

Roy,not worth it to me. even at $40000 and put $20000 in it no profit after holding costs commissions etc so i also wouldnt buy it for a rental. i would pay about $15000 for that house --72.231.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by 6x6 [TN]) Posted on: Jun 24, 2021 2:52 PM
Message:

Why on earth would they do that? Are they in foreclosure? --73.120.xx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 24, 2021 3:24 PM
Message:

6x6,

The woman I talked to has had many 'sleepless nights' worrying about what may happen next if this house does not get sold soon. She was thrilled just to be talking to me on the phone. She and her husband have made some bad financial decisions (ie. 2nd mortgage) concerning this house and they are desperate for some relief.

Ken - I am a 'buy and hold' type investor which means 'the numbers' have to work for me as a rental and not so much as a flip where the stakes are much higher. When I crunch the numbers for a rental, this deal works out to be a 15% return which I can live with. With rental houses, time is always on my side. However, with flips time is my #1 enemy. The reason I don't do flips is because I like to sleep at night. :)

--68.63.xxx.xxx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Posted on: Jun 27, 2021 9:36 PM
Message:

This house screams subject to. You will have the cash flow, and the appreciation. The numbers are not that strong though so you have to pick it up subject to the existing financing.

--72.23.xxx.xx




Crunching the Numbers ! (by Roy [AL]) Posted on: Jun 28, 2021 8:56 AM
Message:

Ray,

There are 2 mortgages on this house and the home owners here are upside down,...they owe $12K more than the house is worth. Their monthly payment on a trashed out vacant house is $600/month. How would a Subject To deal be beneficial here? I would only consider Subject To if there was any equity in the house.

I usually walk away from deals where the owners are upside down but with this one I am going to hang with it just to see what happens next. --68.63.xxx.xxx





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