OGM Movement
Click here for Top Ten Discussions. CLICK HERE for Q & A Homepage
Receive Free Rental Owner Updates Email:  
MrLandlord Q & A
     
     
OGM Movement (by Ray [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 8:04 AM
       OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 8:21 AM
       OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 8:38 AM
       OGM Movement (by JAC [OH]) Nov 12, 2020 8:42 AM
       OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 9:29 AM
       OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 9:34 AM
       OGM Movement (by JAC [OH]) Nov 12, 2020 10:05 AM
       OGM Movement (by Nicole [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 10:12 AM
       OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 10:18 AM
       OGM Movement (by Allym [NJ]) Nov 12, 2020 10:25 AM
       OGM Movement (by Scott [IN]) Nov 12, 2020 10:39 AM
       OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Nov 12, 2020 11:12 AM
       OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 11:20 AM
       OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Nov 12, 2020 11:30 AM
       OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Nov 12, 2020 11:32 AM
       OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 11:33 AM
       OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 11:33 AM
       OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Nov 12, 2020 11:37 AM
       OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 11:45 AM
       OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Nov 12, 2020 11:59 AM
       OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 12:04 PM
       OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Nov 12, 2020 12:36 PM
       OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 3:08 PM
       OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 3:16 PM
       OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Nov 12, 2020 3:38 PM
       OGM Movement (by don [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 4:41 PM
       OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 5:09 PM
       OGM Movement (by JAC [OH]) Nov 12, 2020 6:26 PM
       OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 6:53 PM
       OGM Movement (by JAC [OH]) Nov 12, 2020 7:05 PM
       OGM Movement (by MikeA [TX]) Nov 12, 2020 7:48 PM
       OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 8:41 PM
       OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 8:48 PM
       OGM Movement (by Nicole [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 8:56 PM
       OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Nov 12, 2020 9:38 PM
       OGM Movement (by Small potatoes [NY]) Nov 13, 2020 2:31 AM
       OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Nov 13, 2020 7:02 PM
       OGM Movement (by Small potatoes [NY]) Nov 13, 2020 10:26 PM


OGM Movement (by Ray [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 8:04 AM
Message:

I picked up fractional interest in a series of Gas wells back in August.

The performing wells are located in Fayette County in Pa and another group of wells located just across the boarder in Northern WV. With all the doom and gloom in the rental housing industry, I used these purchases as part of one of my 1031 exchanges.

These wells perform at between 9 - 12% cap rate but unlike housing units - there is no participation in this investment. You strictly receive ACH payments for the next 30 or so years.

In early August natural gas prices were at about $ 2.10. This purchase was part of a larger plan of mine to become less involved in my investments and more free. Before the election the election they had edged upward to $ 3.35. My investment grew roughly 50% in value and I was stoked ...... since the projected winner of the election said he would stop all new fracking, I figured the value of existing wells would skyrocket.

Well something strange is happening. The price of gas has actually went down to $3.03. I am not sure why the decrease in price. I am inclined to believe that prices will remain high - which means my monthly deposits also go up the a same rate. I think it is wise to bounce this off the membership for your input. What do you see as the future pricing of Natural Gas?

--24.101.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 8:21 AM
Message:

It's a mix of market and what the well in particular pooling

units produce.

I retained the gas rights on two houses that I flipped that were side-by-side. They both had about 3 1/2 acres total. I was gettong between 12 and $1400 a month in royalties for about two years from this property and then it dropped way down. Now I get about $200 to $300 a month off of this parcel.

Every once in a while, you will see the price shoot back up for a bit and that can either be from the demand or it can be from the gas company re-fracking well and increasing the output.

So you'll often times see high royalties for a while in the beginning of the well and then it'll drop down but it'll stay consistent at that lower price for a very very long time.

Personally, I would not buy a property just based on what its gas royalties are doing because it's anyones guess what will happen, but that's just me. It is to much hit or miss for my liking. But on the other hand, I do absolutely keep the gas rights on every property that I sell if it all possible. And after a while, the checks do add up. I consider it money from heaven.

It is nothing for a farmer with two or 300 acres around here to pull in $30,000 a month.

--70.44.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 8:38 AM
Message:

I guess I should've stated that the checks that I get off of that 3 1/2 acre parcel are down, because of what the well produces is also down. Right after a well is fracked, it produces a lot of gas for a short period of time, it could be several months or a year, year and a half and then after that it drops way down but to a steady rate over an extended period of time. --70.44.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by JAC [OH]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 8:42 AM
Message:

Your level of misinformation is high. B does not want to ban all new fracking. He does want to ban new fracking on federal land. He also want to move to renewable energy. --50.5.xxx.xxx




OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 9:29 AM
Message:

JAC, this is an actual business oriented thread. I don't think you have what it takes to partake in this discussion. --70.44.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 9:34 AM
Message:

I don't really care what B spouts off for or against fracking. But bringing it back around that, there's nothing that he can do to stop it. Especially the existing wells. There is billions of dollars into this natural gas. These are recorded leases in court houses that can be renewed perpetually into the future for a long long time. --70.44.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by JAC [OH]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 10:05 AM
Message:

The original post of this business thread included misinformation. Posting misinformation does a disservice to everyone that participates in this forum. I would expect anyone to correct me if I posted misinformation. You are correct about existing leases and to add to that B didn't say he was going to affect existing fracking, including those existing on federal land. --50.5.xxx.xxx




OGM Movement (by Nicole [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 10:12 AM
Message:

I looked into what Ray is talking about a while ago as I also want (although haven't been able to yet) to slowly move away from actual hands on landlording. With that, I can see, touch and smell what's going on so it's difficult to change. With the gas, I was never comfortable enough to understand what was a good deal and what wasn't. I guess I didn't have enough info or didn't really try to understand the pros and cons. --72.70.xxx.xxx




OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 10:18 AM
Message:

Nicole, there is an investor here who I hunt with in the fall. He organized the majority of the leases for this area. Super brilliant man. He and another investor target flipping real estate with the intentions of stripping the existing gas leases off the properties.

So they flip the property for a profit, house with a few acres up to 20-30-40 acre farms and keep the royalties at closing. Those royalties are GRAVY.

--70.44.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by Allym [NJ]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 10:25 AM
Message:

Its been very warm all over the country since we are now re entering Solar Maximum. Big sunspots throwing out the red spectrum rays that heat the atmosphere.

I don't see politics influencing this at this time though if B got in and started shutting energy production down there would be an issue. If he shut down one procedure the cost of fuel would rise. Hopefully it would not be the procedure you invested in. --71.104.xx.xxx




OGM Movement (by Scott [IN]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 10:39 AM
Message:

Basic science: NG is the cleanest, most environmentally friendly of all the fossil fuels. Coal is the worst. I believe B will continue the ongoing process of replacing coal fired electricity generation with NG, increasing demand and perpetuating Ray and NE's fat royalty checks.

Wind and solar are a long, long way from replacing fossil fuels. --107.141.xx.xxx




OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 11:12 AM
Message:

Thank you for the updated information Ray.

I don't really know how this works but, if you own an interest in something, then shouldn't you have a board or something that should be keeping you updated? I don't even know how to ask the question.

I am probably thinking completely wrong on that.

Is there a limit to invest in this?

NE, can you explain to me how that works?

Once you sold the house, did you have someone come in with a well and start pumping gas and then pay you a royalty?

Would the new owner of the house not still on the land that the equipment is on?

Do they get paid for use of the land?

--73.120.xx.xxx




OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 11:20 AM
Message:

6 x 6, in very simplistic terms, a well is drilled on a parcel of land somewhere and there is a radius around that well that captures gas from the fracking process. The land above that radius falls into what is called a pooling unit. If you buy a piece of property and sell the property, you can sell it in it's entirety or you can keep the gas rights underneath it or you can keep hunting rights for life or you can keep fishing rights or firewood rights, anything really that you want. In my area, I keep the gas rights whether they are producing or not because they might be producing 10 years from now.

I sold a property last summer and I was going to keep fishing rights to the property, but I forgot to at closing. It was a beautiful pond about 2 acres in size that only had access from four houses. The entire time I was there working on the property, I never saw anybody fish it. Kicking myself now for that one. --70.44.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 11:30 AM
Message:

Thank you NE.

So, do you get a type of deed at closing?

Is it for life or until you sell that right?

If a well gets drilled somewhere in that radius, then the well owner looks up in the court records as to who owns those rights? --73.120.xx.xxx




OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 11:32 AM
Message:

Ray, I would think that the price should go back up in the winter as the demand would be more. I know that the utilities company here charges more per unit in the winter. --73.120.xx.xxx




OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 11:33 AM
Message:

Most of the pooling units are leased by one or two gas companies. They will look up who owns the land in the area and whether or not that landowner has the gas rights. So I only's gas rates forever until I sell them or my LLC is dissolved.

I don't get a deed for them, I reserve them in the deed when I write the new one for the owners that buy the property. --70.44.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 11:33 AM
Message:

Most of the pooling units are leased by one or two gas companies. They will look up who owns the land in the area and whether or not that landowner has the gas rights. So I only's gas rates forever until I sell them or my LLC is dissolved.

I don't get a deed for them, I reserve them in the deed when I write the new one for the owners that buy the property. --70.44.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 11:37 AM
Message:

Ray, how do you know if they are paying you accurately?

I mean, do they give you a report as to how much gas was pumped? Produced? Sold?

How do you verify that?

--73.120.xx.xxx




OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 11:45 AM
Message:

Haha, 6x6 that's a huge question about accurate pay. There is a massive civil action lawsuit against one gas company here locally for millions in unpaid royalties. My uncle found $180,000 in unpaid royalties for roughly 400 acres due ro a price per unit "error". --70.44.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 11:59 AM
Message:

Thank you NE. I appreciate you explaining that.

WOW, $180,000. So, at some point, someone did some verifying somehow.

--73.120.xx.xxx




OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 12:04 PM
Message:

My uncle did. He hadn't to dig back through the wording of the leases and show that unit price is linked to the way things are sold, etc. What happened was something along the line of the gas company selling the units to another company that they owned and THEN selling them on the open market, bypassing paying a higher royalty. (Paraphrased of course, but you get the idea)

I do enjoy the royalties that I get, however it is not worth my time to dig into mine to chase the little amounts I might be losing to things like this.

Do I spend countless hours to find 50 bucks a month?

If I was getting tens of thousands a month and had hundreds of acres at stake, I would pursue this as well. --70.44.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 12:36 PM
Message:

That's good information to know in case you ever need it. --73.120.xx.xxx




OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 3:08 PM
Message:

It wasn't that long ago when "Shallionaires" suddenly cropped up over night around here. Farmers who had land that was selling for $1,800 an acre were being offered $3,900 an acre just for the mineral rights only.

Turned out that Marcellus formation wasn't wide enough this far north so as quickly as it came - it passed us on by. Well the next formation down is the Utica and it wide enough.

It is not as good as Butler or Greene Counties but it is still valid.

--24.101.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 3:16 PM
Message:

Chevron had the initial bite at these wells and they were awesome when they were first drilled. Chevron pulled out after the well got to the stable production level. The company that has the staff geologist picked this up and sells off small pieces so people can complete the 1031 exchange. Leave it to me to take a larger bit of the apple.

--24.101.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by 6x6 [TN]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 3:38 PM
Message:

Thank you for the explanation Ray. --73.120.xx.xxx




OGM Movement (by don [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 4:41 PM
Message:

Someone states repeatedly on video that he will end fracking, that he will phase out all fossil fuels. He then states on video that he will not end fracking and that he never said he would. What statement do you believe??

--70.90.xx.xxx




OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 5:09 PM
Message:

Amen.

Its tough to know what to believe --24.101.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by JAC [OH]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 6:26 PM
Message:

The statement you say was made and was later clarified by that someone and fact checked by various sites. Someone said they would stop new fracking on public lands but would allow existing operations to continue. It's not tough to know what to believe. Do you own research, the facts are available. --50.5.xxx.xxx




OGM Movement (by NE [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 6:53 PM
Message:

Ray, If you want "facts", watch B rally reruns. If you want the truth or where things are and are headed, contact the recorder of deeds in your area and see who organized the leases and what attorneys are handling the civil suit cases, that's where you'll find the "truth" of the future of gas in your area. --70.44.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by JAC [OH]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 7:05 PM
Message:

NE. Facts are not your strong suit. --50.5.xxx.xxx




OGM Movement (by MikeA [TX]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 7:48 PM
Message:

NG as a commodity is sold on futures similar to stocks. It could be related to the overall market fluctuations when Phizer did their media release that made the market go bonkers on last Monday.

Living in the middle of a major oil and gas area, I've heard ton's of horror stories of non-pro's getting taken to the cleaners when buying in. So many variables to consider from fraudulent meters, accounting, and shady producers. Then the periodic costs to refurbish the production field that can cost hundreds of thousands which reduces your profit and in some cases lowers your vested interest. I've never taken the time to learn the right questions to ask when buying in and what to watch for as a part owner so I've shied away. So, for my inquisitive mind, can you share what you look for to evaluate an oil and gas deal? --64.130.xx.xxx




OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 8:41 PM
Message:

MikeA,

Excellent Question.....

About ten years ago I rented office space to a geologist. He was with me for about six years . I gave the guy $1,500 and asked him to review what the area surrounding the wells looked like and what his opinion was on what he expected production to be. He gave me a thumbs up on this pick so I ran with.

The guy also gave me a thumbs down to some oil wells out in California that were being offered at the same time. --24.101.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 8:48 PM
Message:

To give everyone an idea of the numbers that are occurring, back when gas was at $2.10, the $100,000 investment was paying $850 or so each month. It required absolutely no management, no phone calls and no excuses about being unable to pay.

I haven't gotten a feel for the what the new rate represents monthly. I am thinking it should be about 40% higher.

Under the past pres, many of the coal electric plants were retrofitted to be just natural gas. So I am wondering if the C-19 surge is causing the prices to be pushed lower than where it should be. If people are afraid of a future lock down, less power will get used --24.101.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by Nicole [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 8:56 PM
Message:

Ray, surely you should be able to find a woman who gets the vapors just from reading this thread! --72.70.xxx.xxx




OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Posted on: Nov 12, 2020 9:38 PM
Message:

I am not really looking for a gold digger.

I am looking for someone independent with a coconut on her shoulders. Meeting people in a pandemic in the sticks isn't easy.

--24.101.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by Small potatoes [NY]) Posted on: Nov 13, 2020 2:31 AM
Message:

It was in the news today that coal will increase because gas is edging higher. Not sure I buy that explanation. --24.194.xxx.xxx




OGM Movement (by Ray-N-Pa [PA]) Posted on: Nov 13, 2020 7:02 PM
Message:

Many power plants are slit fuel. They can burn coal or natural gas. Coal tends to be cheaper but it is much dirtier. It takes a while to bring the plant up to a certain level when using coal.

It is my understanding that with natural gas, you can supplement the plant so it can keep up with peaks in demand.

So a plant my end up being set up to run the core system with 60% coal and 40% gas. If the plant doesn't need to produce as much electric say because the end of first and second shift occurred, they can shift back to just coal. Or if it is a rather hot day and there is a peak demand due to the need for additional AC -the natural gas is already in the pipeline headed there. For coal, you might need to wait for the next train to arrive to have extra coal.

So, if gas and coal are going up, someone thinks we will be using more electricity --24.101.xxx.xx




OGM Movement (by Small potatoes [NY]) Posted on: Nov 13, 2020 10:26 PM
Message:

I suppose we're using more power since people are at home instead of school and work. More lights, hvac, etc going everywhere all day. Whatever camp you are in it will take a year to reach herd immunity. Sounds like Wall St had that play in place. --24.194.xxx.xxx





Reply:
Subject: RE: OGM Movement
Your Name:
Your State:

Message:
OGM Movement
Would you like to be notified via email when somebody replies to this thread?
If so, you must include your valid email address here. Do not add your address more than once per thread/subject. By entering your email address here, you agree to receive notification from Mrlandlord.com every time anyone replies to "this" thread. You will receive response notifications for up to one week following the original post. Your email address will not be visible to readers.
Email Address: